Economic scenarios: essential to decision-making
As an independent specialist, Ortec Finance provides the Ortec Finance Scenarioset (OFS) and the Dynamic Scenario Generator (DSG) - the software for calibrating, modifying, generating and analysing OFS. The OFS provides consistent, realistic and up to date stochastic scenarios with a worldwide coverage for long, medium and short term horizons. The OFS underlies all forward looking solutions of Ortec Finance, for institutional as well as private investors.
Using scenario models helps people and organizations to become more successful in achieving their goals because of the consistency, objectivity, transparency and efficiency that working with proper models in a proper way can bring (Read more in white paper “Relevance of scenario models”). Over the years, scenario analysis has proven itself to be an essential method to support investment decisions and the monitoring of those decisions. Besides the OFS for realistic real world scenarios, Ortec Finance also provides outstanding risk-neutral scenarios for valuation purposes.
OFS contributes to better investment decisions and enables people and organizations to become more successful in achieving their goals
Top-notch scenarios from the Ortec Finance Scenarioset
The Ortec Finance Scenarioset (OFS) provides consistent stochastic scenarios for long, medium and short-term horizons, rather than having to resort to different scenario models for different applications. The OFS is unique in its capability of integrating defining characteristics of realistic market behaviour (“stylized facts”) in asset prices, yield curves, volatilities as well as in the broader macro-economic environment. In particular, this results in projections of risk and return that dynamically adjust to the latest economic and financial market circumstances, including the effects of ‘externalities’ such as central bank interventions and an event as the Brexit. Not dynamics for the sake of dynamics, but because these dynamics have been shown to make the scenarios more realistic than those obtained from traditional static approaches. Bottom line, the OFS provides decision makers with complete, consistent, realistic and up to date projections of risk and return at long, medium and short term horizons (Read more in white paper “Ortec Finance scenario approach”).
OFS provides decision makers with complete, consistent, realistic and up to date projections of risk and return at long, medium and short-term horizons
Realistic scenarios of the US 10-year government bond yield December 2013
A unique Economic Scenario Generator: the DSG
The Dynamic Scenario Generator (DSG) is the software for calibrating, modifying, generating and analysing OFS. The DSG is a module of GLASS and embodies a unique frequency domain methodology that is essential to OFS. The software is complete as it contains parameterization-, simulation-, calibration-, analysis- and export-facilities. It offers users various tools for incorporating client specific risk and return assumptions in the scenarios in a user-friendly and consistent manner. The DSG is available in different setups, ranging from a pre-calibrated setup to full control and is built on state of the art database, user interface and distributed computing technology.
DSG software is complete as it contains parameterization-, simulation-, calibration-, analysis- and export-facilities
- Uncertainty and risk: a realistic and up to date reflection of how the future might (not will) unfold;
- Consistency: consistent scenarios for long, medium and short term investment decision making;
- Coverage: available for the end of every month, for horizons from one month to decades and with a worldwide coverage of more than 600 risk drivers;
- Methodology and software: unique frequency domain methodology implemented in the Dynamic Scenario Generator (DSG) software;
- Guidance: extensive economic and financial market guidance and full transparency;
- Views: clients can incorporate own risk and return assumptions in a consistent way ;
- Continuous improvement: bundles 30 years of innovation and experience and is continuously tested and improved.